A Geometric Proof of Calibration
نویسندگان
چکیده
We provide yet another proof of the existence of calibrated forecasters; it has two merits. First, it is valid for an arbitrary finite number of outcomes. Second, it is short and simple and it follows from a direct application of Blackwell’s approachability theorem to carefully chosen vector-valued payoff function and convex target set. Our proof captures the essence of existing proofs based on approachability (e.g., the proof by Foster [5] in case of binary outcomes) and highlights the intrinsic connection between approachability and calibration.
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ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Math. Oper. Res.
دوره 35 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2010